Reducing overconfidence in the interval judgments of experts

scientific article published on 17 December 2009

Reducing overconfidence in the interval judgments of experts is …
instance of (P31):
scholarly articleQ13442814

External links are
P356DOI10.1111/J.1539-6924.2009.01337.X
P698PubMed publication ID20030766

P50authorMarissa F. McBrideQ54965088
Louisa FlanderQ55688708
Fiona FidlerQ64878703
Mark BurgmanQ6766929
P2093author name stringGeoff Cumming
Andrew Speirs-Bridge
P433issue3
P304page(s)512-523
P577publication date2009-12-17
P1433published inRisk AnalysisQ7336230
P1476titleReducing overconfidence in the interval judgments of experts
P478volume30

Reverse relations

cites work (P2860)
Q40723853A Model to Inform Management Actions as a Response to Chytridiomycosis-Associated Decline
Q46395453A Risk-Based Ecohydrological Approach to Assessing Environmental Flow Regimes
Q27311105A structured elicitation method to identify key direct risk factors for the management of natural resources
Q30987908Assessing the Effectiveness of Local Management of Coral Reefs Using Expert Opinion and Spatial Bayesian Modeling
Q40039719Assessing the Risk of a Canine Rabies Incursion in Northern Australia
Q52679479Assessing the probability of introduction and spread of avian influenza (AI) virus in commercial Australian poultry operations using an expert opinion elicitation.
Q92718528Building a stakeholder-led common vision increases the expected cost-effectiveness of biodiversity conservation
Q30399316Characterising Uncertainty in Expert Assessments: Encoding Heavily Skewed Judgements
Q28650755Contending with uncertainty in conservation management decisions
Q55498010Eliciting improved quantitative judgements using the IDEA protocol: A case study in natural resource management.
Q33574280Evaluation of harvest and information needs for North American sea ducks
Q33988157Expert status and performance
Q38646662Group elicitations yield more consistent, yet more uncertain experts in understanding risks to ecosystem services in New Zealand bays.
Q97067285Individuals vs. BARD: Experimental Evaluation of an Online System for Structured, Collaborative Bayesian Reasoning
Q38370467Informing Environmental Water Management Decisions: Using Conditional Probability Networks to Address the Information Needs of Planning and Implementation Cycles
Q33638014Modelling seasonal habitat suitability for wide-ranging species: Invasive wild pigs in northern Australia
Q62176573Participatory Modeling and Structured Decision Making
Q37337361Perceived versus predicted risks of colorectal cancer and self-reported colonoscopies by members of mismatch repair gene mutation-carrying families who have declined genetic testing
Q56417751Policy advice: Use experts wisely
Q43924566Purpose, Processes, Partnerships, and Products: 4Ps to advance Participatory Socio-Environmental Modeling
Q92509362Quantifying the impact of uncertainty on threat management for biodiversity
Q31030636Raising the bar for systematic conservation planning.
Q104282924Ranking buffel: Comparative risk and mitigation costs of key environmental and socio-cultural threats in central Australia
Q36715453Risk Associated with the Release of Wolbachia-Infected Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes into the Environment in an Effort to Control Dengue
Q62176589State-and-Transition Models: Conceptual Versus Simulation Perspectives, Usefulness and Breadth of Use, and Land Management Applications
Q39144847Stochastic population forecasting based on combinations of expert evaluations within the Bayesian paradigm
Q39292938The anchoring bias reflects rational use of cognitive resources
Q36264681Two-step adaptive management for choosing between two management actions
Q92873146Weighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments
Q111946155What we don't know and haven't learned about cost - benefit prioritisation of rock-wallaby management

Search more.