On the psychology of prediction

scientific article (publication date: 1973)

On the psychology of prediction is …
instance of (P31):
scholarly articleQ13442814

External links are
P356DOI10.1037/H0034747
P3181OpenCitations bibliographic resource ID1221793
P5875ResearchGate publication ID209410239

P50authorDaniel KahnemanQ233950
Amos TverskyQ474333
P433issue4
P304page(s)237-251
P577publication date1973-01-01
P1433published inPsychological ReviewQ7256370
P1476titleOn the psychology of prediction
P478volume80

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Q46239202Learning to commit or avoid the base-rate error
Q51259825Legal and mental health system interactions: major developments and research needs.
Q50615782Letter to the Editor: Causes and correlates of intrusive memory: a response to Clark, MacKay, Holmes and Bourne.
Q56289185Like Goes with Like: The Role of Representativeness in Erroneous and Pseudo-Scientific Beliefs
Q39995961Limitations of diagnostic precision and predictive utility in the individual case: a challenge for forensic practice
Q56767345Limited attention, information disclosure, and financial reporting
Q128696588Linguistics as a biased discipline: Identifications and interventions
Q47627796Logic and belief across the lifespan: the rise and fall of belief inhibition during syllogistic reasoning
Q91081823Long-Term Violent Reoffending Following Forensic Psychiatric Treatment: Comparing Forensic Psychiatric Examinees and General Offender Controls
Q58744991Long-tailed macaques (Macaca fascicularis) can use simple heuristics but fail at drawing statistical inferences from populations to samples
Q60517441Lost in the crowd: Entitative group membership reduces mind attribution
Q92137489MUW researcher of the month
Q50735940Making heads or tails of probability: an experiment with random generators.
Q46038352Making sense of candidates: partisanship, ideology, and issues as guides to judgment.
Q128749332Managerial Judgment in Marketing: The Concept of Expertise
Q93183479Manipulating the decision making process: Influencing a "gut" reaction
Q55878769Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics
Q129328230Mean reversion on the JSE
Q47161594Measurements of Rationality: Individual Differences in Information Processing, the Transitivity of Preferences and Decision Strategies
Q129651483Measuring Biases in Expectation Formation
Q128270767Measuring Heterogeneous Price Effects for Home Acquisition Programs in At‐Risk Regions
Q58088925Media Effects on Bystander Intervention: The Role of Exemplification, Framing, Risk Perception, and Motivations
Q50565438Memory accessibility shapes explanation: Testing key claims of the inherence heuristic account.
Q53437089Mental Footnotes. Knowledge Constructivism From Logical Thinking and Personal Beliefs to Social Rationality and Spiritual Freedom.
Q48214958Mere categorization and the frog-pond effect
Q91778541Metacognition and emotional regulation in children from 8 to 12 years old
Q115171559Metacognitive Self and Motivation to Seek Diagnostic Information About the Self: A Longitudinal Study
Q48145654Metacognitive training for patients with schizophrenia: preliminary evidence for a targeted, single-module programme
Q128020471Metacognitive-strategy training promotes decision-making ability in older adults
Q127886013Methods of safety prediction: analysis and integration of risk assessment, leading indicators, precursor analysis, and safety climate
Q56451258Misconceptions of probability: An experiment with a small-group, activity-based, model building approach to introductory probability at the college level
Q129969736Miserliness in human cognition: the interaction of detection, override and mindware
Q52059238Missing information in multiple-cue probability learning.
Q127622321Mitigating the Dilution Effect in Auditors' Judgments Using a Frequency Response Mode
Q122976392Modality, expected utility, and hypothesis testing
Q30995662Modeling censored-in-the-middle condom use data
Q37158906Multiple systems in decision making.
Q52096251Myopic social prediction and the solo comparison effect.
Q34068468Natural Expectations and Macroeconomic Fluctuations
Q59487004Natural sample spaces and the inversion of conditional judgments
Q126860520Naturalism, tractability and the adaptive toolbox
Q33883889Negotiation
Q50659583Neural correlates of the healthiness evaluation processes of food labels.
Q93260684Neuromodulation of cursing in American English: A combined tDCS and pupillometry study
Q114436405Neuromyths: Why Do They Exist and Persist?
Q58596887No Effect of Cue Format on Automation Dependence in an Aided Signal Detection Task
Q59902796Norms and high-level cognition: Consequences, trends, and antidotes
Q129158786Not all hands get hot: Success rates and hot‐hand predictions
Q39453666Not all past events are equal: biased attention and emerging heuristics in children's past-to-future forecasting
Q52170147Not only base rates are neglected in the Engineer-Lawyer problem: an investigation of reasoners' underutilization of complementarity.
Q50907006Not that neglected! Base rates influence related and unrelated judgments.
Q99415753Nudging healthy eating in Dutch sports canteens: a multi-method case study
Q39157329Numerical representations and intuitions of probabilities at 12 months.
Q46153118Objective assessment of laparoscopic skills: dual-task approach
Q51868697Observed consultation: confidence and accuracy of assessors.
Q81863357Obstetrician-gynecologists' decision making about the diagnosis of major depressive disorder and premenstrual dysphoric disorder
Q33424227Occupational exposure decisions: can limited data interpretation training help improve accuracy?
Q36151121Off-Road Vehicle Crash Risk during the Six Months after a Birthday
Q51197082Older adolescents' thinking about academic/vocational and interpersonal commitments.
Q35932355On Bayesian problem-solving: helping Bayesians solve simple Bayesian word problems
Q52285959On statistical intuitions and inferential rules: a discussion of Kahneman and Tversky.
Q59409609On tasty colours and colourful tastes? Assessing, explaining, and utilizing crossmodal correspondences between colours and basic tastes
Q56639576On the Evolution of Trust, Distrust, and Formal Coordination and Control in Interorganizational Relationships
Q35881969On the Supposed Evidence for Libertarian Paternalism
Q67443835On the applicability of game theory to evolution
Q30487602On the meaning of words and dinosaur bones: Lexical knowledge without a lexicon
Q52940222On the misperception of variability.
Q52723965On the study of statistical intuitions.
Q91907787Optimality and heuristics in perceptual neuroscience
Q37181213Order effects in contingency learning: the role of task complexity
Q61712445Over-optimism and entry and exit from self-employment
Q59305822Overcoming the Social and Psychological Barriers to Green Building
Q56004454Overconfidence in personnel selection: When and why unstructured interview information can hurt hiring decisions
Q78202606Overconfidence: It Depends on How, What, and Whom You Ask
Q30489728Overcorrection for Social-Categorization Information Moderates Impact Bias in Affective Forecasting.
Q52186803Overestimation of base-rate differences in complex perceptual categories.
Q93070475Overreaction in Football Wagers
Q73547095Overview and critique of judgement and decision making in health care: social and procedural dimensions
Q102065988Pandemic, Quarantine, and Psychological Time
Q79951800Paradoxical effects of base rates and representation in category learning
Q52376153Parallel Interactive Processing as a Way to Understand Complex Information Processing: The Conjunction Fallacy and Other Examples.
Q57159533Paranormal belief, thinking style preference and susceptibility to confirmatory conjunction errors
Q126634591Parental and social valuations of child health information
Q36058813Parenting schemas and the process of change.
Q69711068Parents' heuristics for judging children's accident risk
Q80099700Patients derogate physicians who use a computer-assisted diagnostic aid
Q128975679Paying is believing: The effect of costly information on Bayesian updating
Q114234522Peering into a crystal ball: Forecasting behavior and industry foresight
Q100736475People As Intuitive Scientists: Reconsidering Statistical Explanations of Decision Making
Q93004067People Make the Same Bayesian Judgment They Criticize in Others
Q128394085People Who Are Homeless are People First: Opportunity for Community Psychologists to Lead in Language Reframing
Q50490462People's conditional probability judgments follow probability theory (plus noise).
Q99617339Perceived efficacy of COVID-19 restrictions, reactions and their impact on mental health during the early phase of the outbreak in six countries
Q71155873Perceived risk and choice of childbirth service
Q98287823Perception of Learning Versus Performance as Outcome Measures of Educational Research
Q47688271Person theories: their temporal stability and relation to intertrait inferences.
Q47790010Personal need for structure and creative performance: the moderating influence of fear of invalidity
Q91206545Physician and Nonphysician Estimates of Positive Predictive Value in Diagnostic v. Mass Screening Mammography: An Examination of Bayesian Reasoning
Q70261410Physician and medical student bias in evaluating diagnostic information
Q42085717Physicians' estimates of the probability of myocardial infarction in emergency room patients with chest pain
Q48605700Physicians' warnings for unfit drivers and the risk of trauma from road crashes
Q44626399Pluralistic ignorance and college student perceptions of gender-specific alcohol norms
Q40802877Positive Illusions and Forecasting Errors in Mutual Fund Investment Decisions
Q48112044Power of the desired self: Influence of induced perceptions of the self on reasoning
Q40943035Pragmatism and the cognitive and neural sciences
Q90929129Predict science to improve science
Q59614970Predictable Policing: Measuring the Crime Control Benefits of Hotspots Policing at Bus Stops
Q90470977Predicting Individual Evaluations from Group Evaluations and Vice Versa: Different Patterns for Self and Other?
Q57407659Predicting others’ memory performance: The accuracy and bases of social metacognition
Q104495641Prediction and Explanation in a Postmodern World
Q69728667Prediction and clinical inference: forty years later
Q62065874Predictors and Associates of Problem–Reaction–Solution: Statistical Bias, Emotion-Based Reasoning, and Belief in the Paranormal
Q50939678Predictors of perceived risk for colon cancer in a national probability sample in the United States.
Q38114951Predictors of perception of pregnancy risk among nulliparous women
Q90380232Prescription Bias in the Treatment of Chronic Systolic Heart Failure
Q88613439Presidential Address National Academy of Neuropsychology Conference Boston 2017
Q123096354Pretend You Are a Turtle: Children's Responses to Metaphorical versus Literal Relaxation Instructions
Q48693193Prior probabilities modulate cortical surprise responses: A study of event-related potentials
Q51013934Prior victimization: a risk factor for child sexual abuse and for PTSD-related symptomatology among sexually abused youth.
Q126663898Privacy calculus or heuristic cues? The dual process of privacy decision making on Chinese social media
Q36941035Probabilistic Inference: Task Dependency and Individual Differences of Probability Weighting Revealed by Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling
Q124337916Probabilistic reasoning in prediction and diagnosis: Effects of problem type, response mode, and individual differences
Q50601408Probability in reasoning: a developmental test on conditionals.
Q84475385Probation officers' perceptions of youths' risk of reoffending and use of risk assessment in case management
Q58003560Probing the “Achilles' heel” of rational analysis
Q59664175Problems with scoring methods and ordinal scales in risk assessment
Q39308997Prospect balancing theory: Bounded rationality of drivers' speed choice
Q53993520Prototypicality and personality: Effects on free recall and personality impressions
Q51216507Psychiatric decision-making for the courts: judges, psychiatrists, lay people?
Q54143259Psychics, aliens, or experience? Using the Anomalistic Belief Scale to examine the relationship between type of belief and probabilistic reasoning.
Q57072937Psychological Dimensions of Climatic Change
Q57150933Psychological mediators of the sport injury--perceived risk relationship
Q69995817Psychological patterns in predicting disjunction and conjunction of clinical symptoms
Q48905430Psychology: Good and bad news on the adolescent brain
Q61919650Psychosocial and Cultural Modeling in Human Computation Systems: A Gamification Approach
Q59220643Psychotherapie und Wissenschaft
Q38650369Quantifying Heuristic Bias: Anchoring, Availability, and Representativeness
Q47568350Quantitative Analysis of Situation Awareness (QASA): modelling and measuring situation awareness using signal detection theory
Q47663431Quantum Bayesian perspective for intelligence reservoir characterization, monitoring and management.
Q47760584RETRACTED: Fueling doubt and openness: experiencing the unconscious, constructed nature of perception induces uncertainty and openness to change
Q34975980RETRACTED: Happiness as alchemy: Positive mood leads to self-serving responses to social comparisons
Q58970666Rank injustice in academic research
Q31036082Rational Irrationality: Modeling Climate Change Belief Polarization Using Bayesian Networks
Q85963785Rationality
Q34106163Rationality
Q33260509Re-interpreting conventional interval estimates taking into account bias and extra-variation
Q51804959Re: Sympathetic blocks for reflex sympathetic dystrophy.
Q88407404Reason knows nothing: how biases infect medicine
Q53096583Reasoning heuristics across the psychosis continuum: the contribution of hypersalient evidence-hypothesis matches.
Q48008200Reasoning with base rates is routine, relatively effortless, and context dependent.
Q50569962Recommending action more than inaction when either decision fails: which norm underlies this process?
Q51865232Reducing cognitive biases in probabilistic reasoning by the use of logarithm formats.
Q51967791Reducing the influence of anecdotal reasoning on people's health care decisions: is a picture worth a thousand statistics?
Q39604734Rehabilitation outcome of elderly patients after a first stroke: effect of cognitive status at admission on the functional outcome
Q128729008Relatedness, Prominence, and Constructive Sponsor Identification
Q128980721Reporting probabilistic expectations with dynamic uncertainty about possible distributions
Q48069271Research-based knowledge in psychology: what, if anything, is its incremental value to the practitioner?
Q90102295Responsiveness to feedback as a personal trait
Q130175163Restructuring structured analytic techniques in intelligence
Q52976992Rethinking the link between categorization and prejudice within the social cognition perspective.
Q50663865Retrieving autobiographical memories influences judgments about others: the role of metacognitive experiences.
Q56212930Reverse Pricing and Online Price Elicitation Strategies in Consumer Choice
Q113287737Risk Literacy in Early Childhood Education Under a Lifelong Perspective
Q38190876Risk as an attribute in discrete choice experiments: a systematic review of the literature.
Q123513609Risk assessment and decision making in child protective services: Predictive risk modeling in context
Q39056335Risk attitudes and personality traits predict perceptions of benefits and risks for medicinal products: a field study of European medical assessors
Q57935739Risk interpretation and action: A conceptual framework for responses to natural hazards
Q106756983Romance of Leadership und die Qualität von Managemententscheidungen
Q73140360Rotating plates: Online study demonstrates the importance of orientation in the plating of food
Q55983270Salience, Attention, and Attribution: Top of the Head Phenomena
Q59310157Saving cognitive resources when possible: the role of judgment consequences and the judgment tendency of other teachers in teachers’ assessment of students
Q37590148Searching for an integrated self-representation
Q129922967Searching for gaydar: Blind spots in the study of sexual orientation perception
Q57666827Seeing My World in a Million Little Pieces: Narcissism, Self-Construal, and Cognitive-Perceptual Style
Q47567303Seeing approach motivation in the avoidance behavior of others: implications for an understanding of pluralistic ignorance
Q113645672Seeing shapes in clouds: the fallacy of deriving ecological hypotheses from statistical distributions
Q62534783Self-Assessments of Health
Q59938128Self-Correcting Information Cascades
Q61662937Self-Regulation of Cognitive Inference and Decision Processes
Q58195253Serious Offenders: Using Evidence to Predict and Manage the Risk
Q40420667Sexism and beautyism effects in selection as a function of self-monitoring level of decision maker
Q39571063Should You Trust Your Money to a Robot?
Q50733361Show me the pragmatic contribution: a developmental investigation of contrastive inference.
Q126161097Significant hot hand effect in the game of cricket
Q74632416Similarity between hypotheses and evidence
Q59238313Simple Models of Discrete Choice and Their Performance in Bandit Experiments
Q52369596Simulated neural networks to predict outcomes, costs, and length of stay among orthopedic rehabilitation patients.
Q37277408Sizing Up Objects: The Effect of Diminutive Forms on Positive Mood, Value, and Size Judgments.
Q47720255Smarter than we think: when our brains detect that we are biased
Q93355630Social Cognition 2.0: An Interactive Memory Systems Account
Q60017821Social Information-Processing Bases of Aggressive Behavior in Children
Q127591244Social Mood and Efficient Market
Q42653134Social Web mining and exploitation for serious applications: Technosocial Predictive Analytics and related technologies for public health, environmental and national security surveillance
Q51905702Social cognition and its relation to psychosocial adjustment in children with nonverbal learning disabilities.
Q58723126Social learning under acute stress
Q36286212Social networks and inference about unknown events: A case of the match between Google's AlphaGo and Sedol Lee.
Q64912454Socio-affective and cognitive predictors of social adaptation in vulnerable contexts.
Q56639625Soziale Kompetenz - Definition, Strukturen und Prozesse
Q58096463Spirited Women: The role of spirituality in the work lives of female entrepreneurs in Ghana
Q91524805Statistically inaccurate and morally unfair judgements via base rate intrusion
Q70768355Statistically sophisticated subjects' perceptions of the health risks of smoking
Q57697452Strategic Policy Preferences: A Behavioral Decision Theory Perspective
Q47310148Strength and weight: The determinants of choice and confidence.
Q57697456Subjective Expected Utility: A Model of Decision-Making
Q50962207Subjective awareness on the Iowa Gambling Task: the key role of emotional experience in schizophrenia.
Q57697503Subjective expected utility: A model of decision-making
Q57697534Subjective sensitivity analysis
Q92014876Success Expectancy: A Mediator of the Effects of Source Similarity and Self-Efficacy on Health Behavior Intention
Q89808066Surprising rationality in probability judgment: Assessing two competing models
Q33793132Surveillance in Barrett's esophagus: lessons from behavioral economics
Q41744421SurveyWiz and factorWiz: JavaScript Web pages that make HTML forms for research on the Internet
Q42534525Synaptic computation underlying probabilistic inference
Q38397396Systematic review of expert elicitation methods as a tool for source attribution of enteric illness
Q55966452TARGET ARTICLE: Attributions of Implicit Prejudice, or "Would Jesse Jackson 'Fail' the Implicit Association Test?"
Q91585643Taking Note
Q58161381Taking a Second Look in a Warped Crystal Ball: Explaining the Accuracy of Revised Forecasts
Q57400739Technosocial predictive analytics for security informatics
Q34646122Telemedicine/telehealth: an international perspective. The diffusion of telemedicine
Q129204422Terrorism and Corporate Acquisitions
Q33314689Testing nonlocal observation as a source of intuitive knowledge
Q88047280The "consistency" controversy and the accuracy of personality judgments
Q31150763The Anatomy of American Football: Evidence from 7 Years of NFL Game Data
Q60518048The Availability Heuristic Revisited: Ease of Recall and Content of Recall as Distinct Sources of Information
Q55954240The Bayesian logic of frequency-based conjunction fallacies
Q57270043The Behavioral Genetics of Behavioral Anomalies
Q59758542The Causes of Impasses in Labor Disputes
Q37139354The Conjunction and Disjunction Fallacies: Explanations of the Linda Problem by the Equate-to-Differentiate Model.
Q130206664The Decision to Shoot Black Suspects in Brazil: The Police Officer’s Dilemma
Q104745758The Effect of Evidential Impact on Perceptual Probabilistic Judgments
Q91574415The Effects of Perceived Decision-Making Styles on Evaluations of Openness and Competence That Elicit Collaboration
Q30051774The Evolution of Cognitive Bias
Q115307942The Gender Gap on Wall Street: An Empirical Analysis of Confidence in Investment Decision Making
Q47599279The Goldwater Rule: Perspectives From, and Implications for, Psychological Science
Q127318854The Heuristic of Representativeness and Overconfidence Bias in Entrepreneurs
Q129724330The Impact of Beliefs Concerning Deception on Perceptions of Nonverbal Behavior: Implications for Neuro-Linguistic Programming-Based Lie Detection
Q56289214The Intuitive Psychologist And His Shortcomings: Distortions in the Attribution Process
Q60624335The Law of Cognitive Structure Activation
Q59567875The Least Likely Act
Q38616207The Love of Large Numbers: A Popularity Bias in Consumer Choice
Q55952553The Meta-Analysis of Clinical Judgment Project: Fifty-Six Years of Accumulated Research on Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction
Q127520307The Overconfidence of Financial Literacy of Korean University Students
Q39061770The Overestimation Phenomenon in a Skill-Based Gaming Context: The Case of March Madness Pools
Q128014492The Proclivity to Rely on Professional Experience and Evidence-Based Policing: Findings From a Survey of High-Ranking Officers in the Israel Police
Q103726853The Psychology Underlying Biased Forecasts of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths in the United States
Q53407860The Reflective Mind: Examining Individual Differences in Susceptibility to Base Rate Neglect with fMRI.
Q98631687The Relationship between Risk Event Involvement and Risk Perception during the COVID-19 Outbreak in China
Q128622914The Role of Cognition and Affect in the Formation of Customer Satisfaction: A Dynamic Perspective
Q90665080The Size-Value Compatibility Effect
Q59036032The Smart Nonconserver: Preschoolers Detect Their Number Conservation Errors
Q114600584The Sweet Spot: When Children’s Developing Abilities, Brains, and Knowledge Make Them Better Learners Than Adults
Q56289189The Use of Judgement Heuristics to Make Social and Object Decisions: A Developmental Perspective
Q52694190The art and science of medical decision making
Q55952876The base rate fallacy reconsidered: Descriptive, normative, and methodological challenges
Q92475091The base rate neglect in episodic memory
Q55879797The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments
Q52269684The base-rate fallacy in the context of sequential categories.
Q70178922The behavioral and social sciences
Q108772866The challenges and possibilities of earthquake predictions using non-seismic precursors
Q36219073The coming paradigm shift in forensic identification science
Q126101705The complexity of developmental predictions from dual process models
Q70740910The component structure of the human event-related potentials
Q52242908The conjunction fallacy?
Q52069502The context of clinical judgment: the effect of resource availability on judgments of amenability to treatment in juvenile offenders.
Q124883558The counterfactual fallacy: Confusing what might have been with what ought to have been
Q56608782The cultural politics of climate change discourse in UK tabloids
Q40686667The development of an alternative method in the assessment of critical thinking as an outcome of nursing education
Q48680146The development of rational thought: a taxonomy of heuristics and biases
Q89138628The development of the representativeness heuristic in young children
Q30539502The discrepancy-attribution hypothesis: I. The heuristic basis of feelings of familiarity
Q52139788The discrepancy-attribution hypothesis: II. Expectation, uncertainty, surprise, and feelings of familiarity.
Q128122631The effect of ground rent and unexpired lease term on property values in Ghana
Q114668253The effect of limited attention and risk attitude on left-tail reversal: Empirical results from a-share data in China
Q129579570The effect of prosody on decision making: Speech rate influences speed and quality of decisions
Q57697563The effect of temporal setting on likelihood estimates
Q127816844The effects of family structure and race on decision-making in child welfare
Q52141481The effects of routine strength on adaptation and information search in recurrent decision making.
Q89642914The environmental malleability of base-rate neglect
Q40775170The evaluation of clinical predictions. A method and initial application
Q36627159The heuristic-analytic theory of reasoning: extension and evaluation
Q59659675The illusion of replacement in research into the development of thinking biases: the case of the conjunction fallacy
Q52875303The impact of patients perceptions of high blood pressure on attendance at screening, An extension of the Health Belief Model.
Q47189374The impact of stigma, experience, and group referent on HIV risk assessments and HIV testing intentions in Namibia
Q73509347The inclusion of patient testimonials in decision aids: effects on treatment choices
Q40399016The influence of celebrity exemplars on college students' smoking
Q51898253The influence of context on residents' evaluations: effects of priming on clinical judgment and affect.
Q78475922The influence of individual versus aggregate social comparison and the presence of others on self-evaluations
Q60726409The influence of teacher expectations on student achievement in physical education classes: Pygmalion revisited
Q126786076The influence of values in shared (medical) decision making
Q47740671The inherence heuristic across development: systematic differences between children's and adults' explanations for everyday facts
Q48076520The inherence heuristic: an intuitive means of making sense of the world, and a potential precursor to psychological essentialism
Q56743327The interdisciplinary study of coordination
Q52039669The inverse fallacy: an account of deviations from Bayes's theorem and the additivity principle.
Q115244197The left digit effect in a complex judgment task: Evaluating hypothetical college applicants
Q89943167The limits of human predictions of recidivism
Q47598555The limits of rational decision making: Anthropological and psychological perspectives
Q58760075The limits of the foreign language effect on decision-making: The case of the outcome bias and the representativeness heuristic
Q37740760The local dominance effect in self-evaluation: evidence and explanations
Q52102626The logic of psychological treatment
Q85406386The making of behavioral economics: A subjective view (On the book by R. Thaler “Misbehaving. The making of behavioral economics”)
Q52042891The methodology of testing naive beliefs in the physics classroom
Q83347952The mixed blessings of self-knowledge in behavioral prediction: enhanced discrimination but exacerbated bias
Q55895961The moral obligation to be empirical: Comments on Boynton's “Facilitated Communication—what harm it can do: Confessions of a former facilitator”
Q56018651The myth of judicial leniency in sentencing
Q41978954The mythconception of the mad genius
Q51247315The nature and consequences of forensic psychiatric decision-making.
Q37411513The neural basis of belief updating and rational decision making
Q51999515The perception of integrality: remembering through the validation of expectation.
Q125589463The perception of technological risks: A literature review
Q41509031The processing of deviant information in prediction and evaluation
Q34624599The production and perception of randomness
Q40378034The proximity heuristic in judgments of accident probabilities
Q34312657The psychology of Bayesian reasoning
Q41119205The psychology of good judgment: frequency formats and simple algorithms
Q48892803The psychology of nutrition messages
Q123113985The purpose of experiments: Ecological validity versus comparing hypotheses
Q92960893The rare preference effect: Statistical information influences social affiliation judgments
Q51180230The relationship between neuroleptic drug dose and the performance of psychiatric patients in a maximum security token economy program.
Q44920641The role of alarm signal duration as a cue for alarm validity
Q85468052The role of answer fluency and perceptual fluency as metacognitive cues for initiating analytic thinking
Q81526806The role of category coherence in experience-based prediction
Q52170219The role of complex thought in clinical prediction: social accountability and the need for cognition.
Q58003600The role of contradictions and counterexamples in the rejection of false sentences
Q126785138The role of goals and goal barriers in predicting the outcomes of intentional actions in the contexts of narrative text
Q37158845The secret life of fluency
Q28274954The somatic marker hypothesis: a critical evaluation
Q41516127The state of the "state" debate in hypnosis: a view from the cognitive-behavioral perspective
Q38186358The statistical significance of randomized controlled trial results is frequently fragile: a case for a Fragility Index
Q51214551The typicality of therapeutic 'surprises'.
Q91524934The unintended consequences of argument dilution in direct-to-consumer drug advertisements
Q127396988The use of made-up users
Q62113296The use of problem solving and decision making in behavior therapy
Q34244406The utility of verbal and behavioral assessments of value
Q55869135The “false consensus effect”: An egocentric bias in social perception and attribution processes
Q61633077Therapist emotional responses to patients: Building a learning-based language
Q100503053Thinking in a foreign language distorts allocation of cognitive effort: Evidence from reasoning
Q126356596This is easy, you can do it! Feedback during mathematics problem solving is more beneficial when students expect to succeed
Q130025497Those Who Understand It will not be Persuaded: A Performance Information Paradox
Q96815933Three visual working memory representations simultaneously control attention
Q37356559Towards a theory of intentional behaviour change: plans, planning, and self-regulation
Q61183332Towards an interdisciplinary science of transport and health: a case study on school travel
Q48901176Tracking mouse movement in feature inference: category labels are different from feature labels
Q56335290Trait ascription and depth of acquaintance: The preference for traits in personality descriptions and its relation to target familiarity
Q36676329Translational science in action: hostile attributional style and the development of aggressive behavior problems
Q129429967Troubles with Bayesianism: An introduction to the psychological immune system
Q51953521Two routes to remembering (and another to remembering not).
Q44662288Typicality and reasoning fallacies
Q58195227Uncertainty and the Roots of Extremism
Q56335781Understanding Misunderstanding: Social Psychological Perspectives
Q36302407Unrealistic comparative optimism: An unsuccessful search for evidence of a genuinely motivational bias
Q77604729Unskilled and unaware--but why? A reply to Krueger and Mueller (2002)
Q50596120Updating Probability in Sex Offender Risk Assessment.
Q40684798Use of expert judgment in exposure assessment. Part I. Characterization of personal exposure to benzene
Q48565204Using social judgement theory to model nurses' use of clinical information in critical care education
Q101044813Utility and use of accuracy cues in social learning of crowd preferences
Q61890105Validation of the Personal Need for Structure Scale in Chinese
Q53497931Values and truths: the making and judging of moral decisions.
Q73900445Vector-Space Models of Semantic Representation From a Cognitive Perspective: A Discussion of Common Misconceptions
Q56873156Volume, Volatility, Price, and Profit When All Traders Are Above Average
Q45021257Voluntary Sleep Choice and Its Effects on Bayesian Decisions.
Q47595880Waiting for the bus: when base-rates refuse to be neglected
Q93051492Waste Reduction Strategies: Factors Affecting Talent Wastage and the Efficacy of Talent Selection in Sport
Q58235998We don’t need no stinkin’ badges: The impact of reward features and feeling rewarded in educational games
Q122165498What You Don't Know About Customer-Perceived Quality: The Role of Customer Expectation Distributions
Q47639174What makes us think? A three-stage dual-process model of analytic engagement.
Q59444829When Choosing Is Not Deciding: The Effect of Perceived Responsibility on Satisfaction
Q128334425When People Don’t Realize Their Career Desires: Toward a Theory of Career Inaction
Q46081585When Your Kind Cannot Live Here: How Generic Language and Criminal Sanctions Shape Social Categorization
Q50636436When animals misbehave: analogs of human biases and suboptimal choice.
Q80876956When clinical description becomes statistical prediction
Q48588594When do stereotypes come to mind and when do they color judgment? A goal-based theoretical framework for stereotype activation and application
Q58278431When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?
Q48189560When does information about causal structure improve statistical reasoning?
Q50684155When emotionality trumps reason: a study of individual processing style and juror bias.
Q128748884When intuitive Bayesians need to be good readers: The problem-wording effect on Bayesian reasoning
Q51964362When learning order affects sensitivity to base rates: challenges for theories of causal learning.
Q128259083When rational decision-making becomes irrational: a critical assessment and re-conceptualization of intuition effectiveness
Q115171574When saying that you are biased means that you are acurate? The moderating effect of cognitive structuring on relationship between metacognitive self and confirmation bias use
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